How Common Is the Last Name Cai?

An estimated 15,224 people in the United States share the surname Cai. That's about 1 in 22,514 Americans. This data comes from the 2020 U.S. Census Bureau surname frequency tables.

This page covers the Cai surname's frequency in the U.S. population, its rank among all American surnames, and a breakdown of ancestry and ethnicity data from the Census. You can also check how many people share any first + last name combination involving Cai.

Estimated Americans with this Surname

15,224

About 1 in 22,514 people in the U.S.

Census Rank

#2,651

Uncommon 4.44 per 100K

Frequency Rate

4.44

per 100,000 people

Census Count

13,276

2020 Census

Data Source

2020

U.S. Census Bureau

Ancestry and Ethnicity for Cai

The Cai surname is most commonly associated with people who identify as Asian/Pacific Islander (95.92%). The next largest groups are White (2.58%) and Two or More Races (0.68%).

Self-reported race and ethnicity from the 2020 U.S. Census Bureau surname tables. Some categories may be suppressed for privacy when sample sizes are small.

White
2.58%
Black
0.53%
Hispanic
0.30%
Asian/Pacific Islander
95.92%
Two or More Races
0.68%

Historical Census Data for Cai

Cai appears in 3 published Census surname releases on this site (2000, 2010, 2020). From 2000 to 2020, the raw count became more common and the per-100,000 rate became more common. Its best published rank was #2,651 in 2020.

Between the 2010 and 2020 census releases, the surname Cai became more common in the United States. Both the raw count and the population-adjusted frequency moved up.

The line to watch most closely is per 100,000 people. That adjusts for overall population growth, so it shows whether Cai became a bigger or smaller share of the country, not just whether the raw count went up.

Census Count Over Time

Raw Census count in each published surname release.

4,286 to 13,276

4,286 8,457 13,276 2000 2010 2020

Per 100,000 Over Time

Population-adjusted frequency, which is usually the cleaner trend line.

1.59 to 4.44

1.59 2.87 4.44 2000 2010 2020

Release-by-release summary

Each row is a published Census surname table for Cai. The change column compares each release to the one before it.

Year Rank Count Per 100K Change vs prior release Largest recorded group
2000
#7,178 4,286 1.59 Baseline release Asian/Pacific Islander (95.96%)
2010
#4,191 8,457 2.87
Count 65.46%
Rate 57.40%
Asian/Pacific Islander (95.83%)
2020 Latest
#2,651 13,276 4.44
Count 44.35%
Rate 42.99%
Asian/Pacific Islander (95.92%)

If the raw count rose but the per-100,000 number fell, the surname still became less common relative to the size of the U.S. population. That is why the frequency rate usually tells the clearer story.

Recorded ancestry change

These percentages show how the Census profile for this surname shifted across the published surveys on this site.

Ancestry 202020102000 Change Since 2000
White 2.58%1.54%1.56% 49.13%
Black 0.53%N/A0.75% -34.88%
Asian and Pacific Islander 95.92%95.83%95.96% -0.04%
American Indian and Alaska Native 0.00%N/AN/A N/A
Two or More Races 0.68%1.08%1.26% -60.07%
Hispanic 0.30%0.91%N/A N/A

These percentages come from self-reported Census data. They describe how the recorded makeup of people using the surname Cai changed from 2000 through 2020, not the deeper family origin of every bearer of the name.

First Name + Cai Combinations

How many people share a full name with Cai as the last name? Click a combination below to see the estimate, or search any pairing.

Cai Surname: Questions and Answers

How common is the last name Cai?

Cai is the #2,651 most common surname in the United States, with an estimated 15,224 people sharing this last name. It appears at a rate of 4.44 per 100,000 Americans.

Has the surname Cai become more or less common over time?

In the published Census surname tables on this site, Cai moved from 4,286 people in 2000 to 13,276 in 2020. The more important line is the population-adjusted rate, which changed from 1.59 to 4.44 per 100,000.

Why can the raw count go up while the rate per 100,000 goes down?

Because the total U.S. population can grow faster than the surname itself. A surname can have more people in absolute numbers but still make up a smaller share of the country, which is why the per-100,000 figure often tells the clearer story.

What does the ancestry change table show for Cai?

It compares the published Census demographic mix for Cai across releases on this page. That helps you see whether the recorded share of the surname shifted between groups over time, but it still does not tell the full family history of every person with the name.

What does 4.44 per 100,000 mean?

It means that if you picked 100,000 people in the United States at random, about 4.44 of them would have the surname Cai. This is usually the clearest way to compare surnames because it adjusts for the size of the total population.

What ethnicity is the surname Cai?

The Cai surname is most commonly associated with people who identify as Asian/Pacific Islander (95.92%). The next largest groups are White (2.58%) and Two or More Races (0.68%). This data comes from the 2020 U.S. Census Bureau surname tables, which include self-reported race and ethnicity breakdowns.

Does the ancestry table tell the exact family origin of everyone named Cai?

No. It shows how people with the surname Cai identified in the Census. That is useful context, but it does not prove the deeper family history, nationality, or origin story of every person with the name.

How many people named [First Name] Cai are there?

We can estimate any first + last name combination. Popular examples: Michael Cai, James Cai, John Cai. Search any combination on our homepage.

Where does this surname data come from?

Surname frequency data comes from the 2020 U.S. Census Bureau decennial surname tables. These list every surname appearing in the Census along with frequency rates and demographic breakdowns. Full methodology.

Search for a full name combination